Quite a bit of movement since the last post.
Basically Perry is sinking like the Titanic, meanwhile Cain is on fire. Romney is creeping up a bit, but basically has been pretty static and stable in his support.
New polls actually put Cain on top over Romney, Perry has fallen from front runner to 2nd tier status along w/ Ron Paul.
Quote:
Tea Party favorite Herman Cain is steamrolling his way to the top.
The Republican presidential candidate has surpassed former frontrunner Mitt Romney among GOP voters, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll.
According to the survey, the ex-Pizza business magnate is the No.1 choice among 27% of Republicans compared to 23% for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
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Its been pretty amazing to watch through the debates.
Romney has been very solid and polished, as is has been very clever and careful in his statements and performances. His years of campaigning are showing as a very solid (altho questionably genuine canidate.) Don't expect too many career ending errors from him. He is starting to really pick up establishment support not Christie is offically out and has endorsed him. IMO he is the R version of John Kerry in 2012.
Cain is not as polished as Romney, but is doing really well for not being a professional politician. He is energetic and inspiring, and was well placed to pick up Perry's collapsing support. Question is if he can avoid any major mistakes and make people nervous about him. He is the Howard Dean of 2012 imo.
Perry, man, what an epic collapse. Bumbling and inarticulate. Shady decisions as gov not playing well. Worst thing for him was to come off as Bush III, as I think he fell right in there. Getting in so late he had to be perfect, but performance has been very rough as a newb to the national scene. May be able to turn it around, but IDK. Would likely take a Cain fumble to get him back in it.
Everyone else is eh. Ron Paul is sounding like a broken record in the debates. Basically end the Fed, gold std, inflation inflation (really its there, you just can't see it!) and end a bunch of gov agencies. This will make the econ great and freedom for all. How that will happen, he never says, other than to just state as a fact. Nor does he really discuss the consequences of doing some of these things. Too much of an idealist to really break thru to the next level. Plus he has just looked old as hell and tired in the debates.
The rest of the field is hopeless. Not sure why Santorum is even still in it. Gingrich is a gasbag, Huntsman is Romney-lite, and Bachmann has already had her 15 mins and won't get another.
Right now it looks like Cain vs Romney (with Perry trying to get back in it.) NE moderates and establishment vs more activist conservatives and more anti-establishment types. Will be interesting to watch.
Iowa caucuses should begin in 2.5 months. Not alot of time